Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.009846 0.011856 0.014363 0.017793 0.022483 0.028869 0.038595
2024-10-20 0.007294 0.009515 0.012640 0.017587 0.025718 0.039670 0.068697
2024-10-27 0.006267 0.008644 0.012292 0.018757 0.031170 0.057680 0.136051
2024-11-03 0.005648 0.008143 0.012252 0.020279 0.038082 0.085846 0.307151
2024-11-10 0.005198 0.007777 0.012288 0.021903 0.046410 0.130639 0.873673
2024-11-17 0.004656 0.007139 0.011663 0.021914 0.050898 0.173465 2.504023
2024-11-24 0.004188 0.006545 0.010980 0.021539 0.054147 0.221753 10.222295
2024-12-01 0.003695 0.005834 0.009929 0.019950 0.052503 0.241363 38.717234
2024-12-08 0.003338 0.005326 0.009206 0.018986 0.052588 0.277626 2729.264822
2024-12-15 0.003106 0.005026 0.008862 0.018913 0.056166 0.364641 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002951 0.004851 0.008751 0.019448 0.062966 0.547168 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002784 0.004632 0.008509 0.019537 0.068021 0.785141 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002532 0.004243 0.007880 0.018460 0.067319 0.952956 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002357 0.003995 0.007546 0.018248 0.071792 1.492839 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002278 0.003933 0.007639 0.019482 0.087706 4.566203 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002220 0.003904 0.007807 0.021087 0.111132 41.765560 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002166 0.003876 0.007972 0.022804 0.142723 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002053 0.003708 0.007738 0.022816 0.157419 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001939 0.003525 0.007433 0.022419 0.166889 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001795 0.003262 0.006879 0.020740 0.154209 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001683 0.003067 0.006490 0.019723 0.150690 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001610 0.002953 0.006317 0.019645 0.162971 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001562 0.002891 0.006280 0.020211 0.190546 NaN NaN